KAWASE BIIKI

南アフリカランド(ZAR) 為替予想2018前半

南アフリカランド【ZAR】

★総評 中立

鉱物資源国の代表的な通貨南アフリカランドは、ちょっと予想が難しい状態ですので中立評価とさせていただきました。ファンダメンタルズ的には、まあまあな水準、直近12月に入ってから政治的な理由で急上昇しているのをどう評価すべきなのかといった感じです。

 

★経済 マクロ指標など

南アフリカ経済は決して良くはありません。低成長が続いているのと、25%を超える失業率が定常化してしまっています。主力輸出品のプラチナの価格が下落中で、これをそのほかの鉱物資源の価格上昇が支えている状況です。プラチナの下落は、自動車産業で触媒がプラチナからパラジウムへの変更が進んみ需要が減少したためです。ちなみにパラジウムも南アフリカのシェアが大きな貴金属となっていて価格は大幅に上昇中です。貿易指標は、貿易収支は黒字、経常収支は赤字も赤字幅は減少していて、貿易環境は改善がみられます。

債務は、個人は減少、民間セクターで増加しています。水準的にも問題ないため、他の新興国・資源国と比べるとかなり良好と思われます。

12月に入ってからの為替の上昇は、政治的な理由でした。与党の議長選で改革派の方が勝利したようです。現在のズマ大統領は世界的な評判は芳しくないため、新しい大統領候補の出現は南アフリカへの投資を増やすことになりそうです。

 

★金融政策

長らく続いた高インフレが足元では4%台と安定、現在の政策金利は6%台のため、金融政策は緊縮的なものとなっています。インフレ率がここから上昇する要因もないため、これからは利下げが進んでいくものと考えられます。

 

★トレードアイデア

直近で大きく動いたため、しばらくは様子見をしたいところです。新興国の中ではファンダメンタルズ的に弱くはないのですが、リスクオフ時に資金の流出が急になる可能性が大きな通貨のため、どちらかというと下目線で見ていきたいところです。

 

 

| 為替予想 2018前 | 14:12 | comments(5) | trackbacks(0) |
<< トルコリラ(TRY) 為替予想2018前半 | main | アメリカドル(USD) 為替予想2018前半 >>
Hey. Soon your hosting account and your domain kawase-biiki.com will be blocked forever, and you will receive tens of thousands of negative feedback from angry people.

Pay me 0.5 BTC until June 1, 2019.
Otherwise, you will get the reputation of a malicious spammer, your site kawase-biiki.com will be blocked for life and you will be sued for insulting believers. I guarantee this to you.

My bitcoin wallet:19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

Here is a list of what you get if you don’t follow my requirements:
+ abuse spamhouse for aggressive web spam
+ tens of thousands of negative reviews about you and your website from angry people for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your hosting account for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your domain for aggressive web and email spam
+ Thousands of angry complaints from angry people will come to your mail and messengers for sending you a lot of spam
+ complete destruction of your reputation and loss of clients forever
+ for a full recovery from the damage you need tens of thousands of dollars

All of the above will result in blocking your domain and hosting account for life. The price of your peace of mind is 0.5 BTC.

Do you want this?

If you do not want the above problems, then before June 1, 2019, you need to send me 0.5 BTC to my Bitcoin wallet: 19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

How do I do all this to get this result:
1. I will send messages to 33 000 000 sites with contact forms with offensive messages with the address of your site, that is, in this situation, you and the spammer and insult people.
And everyone will not care that it is not you.
2. I’ll send messages to 19,000,000 email addresses and very intrusive advertisements for making money and offer a free iPhone with your website address kawase-biiki.com and your contact details.
And then send out abusive messages with the address of your site.
3. I will do aggressive spa
| JoshuaMusly | 2019/05/25 9:06 AM |
Hey. Soon your hosting account and your domain kawase-biiki.com will be blocked forever, and you will receive tens of thousands of negative feedback from angry people.

Pay me 0.5 BTC until June 1, 2019.
Otherwise, you will get the reputation of a malicious spammer, your site kawase-biiki.com will be blocked for life and you will be sued for insulting believers. I guarantee this to you.

My bitcoin wallet:19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

Here is a list of what you get if you don’t follow my requirements:
+ abuse spamhouse for aggressive web spam
+ tens of thousands of negative reviews about you and your website from angry people for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your hosting account for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your domain for aggressive web and email spam
+ Thousands of angry complaints from angry people will come to your mail and messengers for sending you a lot of spam
+ complete destruction of your reputation and loss of clients forever
+ for a full recovery from the damage you need tens of thousands of dollars

All of the above will result in blocking your domain and hosting account for life. The price of your peace of mind is 0.5 BTC.

Do you want this?

If you do not want the above problems, then before June 1, 2019, you need to send me 0.5 BTC to my Bitcoin wallet: 19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

How do I do all this to get this result:
1. I will send messages to 33 000 000 sites with contact forms with offensive messages with the address of your site, that is, in this situation, you and the spammer and insult people.
And everyone will not care that it is not you.
2. I’ll send messages to 19,000,000 email addresses and very intrusive advertisements for making money and offer a free iPhone with your website address kawase-biiki.com and your contact details.
And then send out abusive messages with the address of your site.
3. I will do aggressive spa
| Patrickkah | 2019/05/25 9:07 AM |
Hey. Soon your hosting account and your domain kawase-biiki.com will be blocked forever, and you will receive tens of thousands of negative feedback from angry people.

Pay me 0.5 BTC until June 1, 2019.
Otherwise, you will get the reputation of a malicious spammer, your site kawase-biiki.com will be blocked for life and you will be sued for insulting believers. I guarantee this to you.

My bitcoin wallet:19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

Here is a list of what you get if you don’t follow my requirements:
+ abuse spamhouse for aggressive web spam
+ tens of thousands of negative reviews about you and your website from angry people for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your hosting account for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your domain for aggressive web and email spam
+ Thousands of angry complaints from angry people will come to your mail and messengers for sending you a lot of spam
+ complete destruction of your reputation and loss of clients forever
+ for a full recovery from the damage you need tens of thousands of dollars

All of the above will result in blocking your domain and hosting account for life. The price of your peace of mind is 0.5 BTC.

Do you want this?

If you do not want the above problems, then before June 1, 2019, you need to send me 0.5 BTC to my Bitcoin wallet: 19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

How do I do all this to get this result:
1. I will send messages to 33 000 000 sites with contact forms with offensive messages with the address of your site, that is, in this situation, you and the spammer and insult people.
And everyone will not care that it is not you.
2. I’ll send messages to 19,000,000 email addresses and very intrusive advertisements for making money and offer a free iPhone with your website address kawase-biiki.com and your contact details.
And then send out abusive messages with the address of your site.
3. I will do aggressive spa
| Richiemup | 2019/05/25 9:08 AM |
Hey. Soon your hosting account and your domain kawase-biiki.com will be blocked forever, and you will receive tens of thousands of negative feedback from angry people.

Pay me 0.5 BTC until June 1, 2019.
Otherwise, you will get the reputation of a malicious spammer, your site kawase-biiki.com will be blocked for life and you will be sued for insulting believers. I guarantee this to you.

My bitcoin wallet:19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

Here is a list of what you get if you don’t follow my requirements:
+ abuse spamhouse for aggressive web spam
+ tens of thousands of negative reviews about you and your website from angry people for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your hosting account for aggressive web and email spam
+ lifetime blocking of your domain for aggressive web and email spam
+ Thousands of angry complaints from angry people will come to your mail and messengers for sending you a lot of spam
+ complete destruction of your reputation and loss of clients forever
+ for a full recovery from the damage you need tens of thousands of dollars

All of the above will result in blocking your domain and hosting account for life. The price of your peace of mind is 0.5 BTC.

Do you want this?

If you do not want the above problems, then before June 1, 2019, you need to send me 0.5 BTC to my Bitcoin wallet: 19ckouUP2E22aJR5BPFdf7jP2oNXR3bezL

How do I do all this to get this result:
1. I will send messages to 33 000 000 sites with contact forms with offensive messages with the address of your site, that is, in this situation, you and the spammer and insult people.
And everyone will not care that it is not you.
2. I’ll send messages to 19,000,000 email addresses and very intrusive advertisements for making money and offer a free iPhone with your website address kawase-biiki.com and your contact details.
And then send out abusive messages with the address of your site.
3. I will do aggressive spa
| WilliamMut | 2019/05/25 9:15 AM |
вЂMeet Local Women Looking For Sex Tonight On XPress: http://v.ht/tycbK?&ozvkz=toTETA1deScc


Popular tags: speed dating badner land, not sure if we're dating, is dating and a relationship the same, hottest dating apps for iphone, dating someone from workplace, yu hakusho dating quiz, good online dating handles, special arrangements dating service, green online dating, west virginia online dating, free dating apps for android, speed dating fredericks bar, what are the advantages and disadvantages of absolute dating vs. relative dating methods, nl dating free, west indian dating uk, north american dating culture, 26 year old woman dating 43 year old man, vedic match making online, crackhead dating advice, hookup crossword clue, hookup green bay wi, record matchmaking cs go, how do you know if you're dating the right person, patti stanger advice online dating, dating sites in nova scotia, dating sites colorado springs co, findlay hookup, all speed dating games, dating site in ahmedabad, online dating asian man, virginia dating a minor, is pof a hookup site, tyranny dating site, you must love dogs dating website, what is the best type of radiometric dating to use to date an object, dating manifesto by lisa, dating sims yaoi, dating engineer pros cons, great dating site taglines, dating paz peace walker, marriage dating sites in usa, dating ranchi, nigerian 419 scams and dating scams, university dating advice, dating pasadena ca, dating infj girl, times dating online, is craigslist safe for dating, the widow's guide to sex and dating a novel, oldest daughter dating youngest son, off grid dating service, best online dating site for early 20s, dating des moines, dating chat rooms for 15 year olds, lesbian dating app toronto, dating singles love @ rsvp australia's largest dating site, hetalia interactive dating games, speed dating sephora, kelley dating site, relative dating techniques ppt, craigslist hookup photos, how long to meet up online dating, funny questi
| Jamessef | 2019/07/10 9:26 PM |









http://kawase-biiki.com/trackback/930
■ LATEST ENTRIES
■ CATEGORIES
■ ARCHIVES
■ SEARCH
■ LINKS
■ PROFILE